Wednesday, April 04, 2007

Fukuyama right?

A decade an a half late, after years of controversy, and a disastrous stint as a neoconservative, Francis Fukuyama seems to be coming round to an interesting view: if the the end of history looks like anything, it's probably not like the US. It's probably more like the EU.

This is a dicey position, to be sure: even the EU isn't sure it'll be the EU forever. Even if it is, it's an organisation in flux. Shouldn't the end of history be some sort of fixed state?

Still, he makes a pretty good point. A world composed of nation states is a messy thing, and semi-flexible networks of states probably have better odds of survival in the long run. The EU still has it's much vaunted record of preventing war in Europe for half a century, which would have been unthinkable a few hundred years ago. One can only wish that the Arab League or African Union had this sort of record.

It's also interesting to see Fukuyama, while still a rather bellicose theorist, leaning back toward both liberalism and pragmatism. He's hardly a good liberal democrat just yet, but a step back from purist faith in sovereignty and market economics represents a rather positive step. If only some of the other (probably very bright) neocon intellectuals saw things in the same light.
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